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By R. D. Shaver, Michael Kennedy

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The cost calculations will use the data from both airports. Our calculations will not include any reactive or proactive profiling strategies. --------------------------------------* We will also show an additional, more complex calculation for the impact on the nation’s economy that is not a linear sum of these two curves. 39 Passenger Arrival Time for 99% Assurance That Bag Makes Plane: Combined ORD & DFW Passenger Planned Arrival Time (minutes before scheduled departure) 120 110 Rel. 8 100 Rel.

An additional $50,000 per year maintenance cost per machine is assumed. 5 million, which translates into an annual charge of $630,000 per machine. Since our calculations are done in dollars of 2003 purchasing power, this is estimated at $640,000 per year to account for inflation. As an illustration, we see from page 41 that about 2,750 machines would be needed nationwide to achieve a five-minute average delay per passenger checking baggage (at 90 percent machine reliability). 37 cents per RPM. 5 percent of that amount.

7]. 45 How Much Equipment Is Enough? Minimizing Total Costs Annual Cost of Baggage Screening Program in 2010 ($B) $7 $6 Max Positive Profiling = 50% EDS rel. = 90% Total cost-simple calculation Passenger Criteria: Baggage Makes Plane 99% of Trials $5 Cost of baggage scanning equipment at Airports $4 $3 $2 Cost of excess passenger time at airports $1 $0 2,400 2,600 2,800 3,000 3,200 3,400 3,600 3,800 4,000 4,200 Number of EDS Machines Deployed at US Airports 46 This chart shows, as a function of the total number of machines acquired, (1) the annualized costs of acquiring, installing, operating, and maintaining the EDS equipment; (2) the annual passenger delay costs; and (3) the arithmetic sum of these two costs.

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